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Entries Tagged as '2016 Election'

Podcast #24: A Politics & Polls Home Companion

December 17th, 2016, 3:45pm by Sam Wang

Polarization was a strong undercurrent to the 2016 presidential election, affecting the campaign, voting, and now President-elect Donald Trump’s cabinet appointments. In an unusual *live* recording of Politics & Polls, Julian Zelizer and I discuss Trump’s recent appointments, the state of polarization today and how the polls got it wrong in the recent election. Link: […]

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Tags: 2016 Election

Democracy’s Survival, Part I: Action Items for Today

December 16th, 2016, 7:30am by Sam Wang

In today’s NYT, two scholars of authoritarian movements, Steven Levitsky and Daniel Ziblatt, weigh in. It’s an important article. Readers, recall that my main purpose in running this site was not simply to aggregate polls. I also wanted to help direct efforts and resources. Presidential polls were off (watch my entomophagy, which I made as […]

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Tags: 2016 Election · U.S. Institutions

The Comey effect

December 10th, 2016, 10:06pm by Sam Wang

September 18, 2017: Re-upping it again because of that claim over at The Monkey Cage to the contrary. Nothing new to add, except that it is always possible to cast doubt on a fairly obvious claim if you use a method that makes your error bars large. May 9th, 2017: I am re-upping this because […]

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Tags: 2016 Election

Politics & Polls #23 with Jamelle Bouie on the Democrats’ Response

December 8th, 2016, 9:26am by Sam Wang

Since Donald Trump’s election, there has been considerable debate about what the Democratic party should do next. While some Democrats argue for an openness to cooperation, others insist there isn’t room for compromise given Trump’s views on race and individual rights. In this episode of Politics & Polls, professors Julian Zelizer and Sam Wang interview […]

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Tags: 2016 Election · President

Politics & Polls #22 with Linda Greenhouse: How will a Trump Presidency affect the Supreme Court?

December 4th, 2016, 3:26pm by Sam Wang

A new episode of Politics & Polls: How will a Trump Presidency affect the Supreme Court? And how soon? Julian Zelizer and I talk it over with veteran Supreme Court reporter Linda Greenhouse. Listen!

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Tags: 2016 Election · President

Princeton Events – What Happened In The Election?

November 26th, 2016, 2:27pm by Sam Wang

This week at Princeton, I’ll be at two events to discuss what happened in the election, and the uncertain road ahead. Both are open to the public. Monday November 28th, at 7:00pm. At the Princeton Public Library, I’ll join a panel moderated by Stan Katz, and featuring Ruth Mandel and Charles Stile. Thursday December 1st, […]

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Tags: 2016 Election

On CNN around 9:25am Eastern w/Smerconish

November 12th, 2016, 8:12am by Sam Wang

Post-mortem. Plus, I keep my word about the bug.

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Tags: 2016 Election

Politics & Polls #20: What Just Happened?

November 11th, 2016, 2:51pm by Sam Wang

Despite the importance of understanding this week’s cataclysmic events, I have been slow to write. There are other demands, especially my annual national scientific conference, which begins tomorrow. The question of what went wrong in polls – and where I went additionally wrong – is an important one. I owe you a serious assessment, but […]

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Tags: 2016 Election

Looking ahead

November 9th, 2016, 12:53am by Sam Wang

Going into today’s election, many races appeared to be very close: 12 state-level Presidential races were within five percentage points. But the polls were off, massively. And so we face the likelihood of an electoral win by Donald Trump. At the same time, Hillary Clinton appears likely to win the popular vote. The Upshot’s model […]

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Tags: 2016 Election · President

Election thread #2

November 8th, 2016, 9:34pm by Sam Wang

11:44pm: The business about 65%, 91%, 93%, 99% probability is not the main point. The entire polling industry – public, campaign-associated, aggregators – ended up with data that missed tonight’s results by a very large margin. There is now the question of understanding how a mature industry could have gone so wrong. And of course, […]

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Tags: 2016 Election