Princeton Election Consortium

A first draft of electoral history. Since 2004

Entries Tagged as '2016 Election'

Partisan Gerrymandering Across the 50 States

July 16th, 2017, 8:49am by Sam Wang

Note: I’ll pretty this up later. In the meantime, the files are available for you to download and inspect at the end of this post. Over at the Associated Press, reporter David Lieb has published a new, in-depth analysis of the effects of gerrymandering in the 2016 Congressional and statehouse elections. The analysis found that [...]

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Tags: 2012 Election · 2014 Election · 2016 Election · governors · Redistricting

Awesome telling of the story of 2016

February 8th, 2017, 8:32pm by Sam Wang

A splendid telling of the story of 2016, by Mike Davis at Jacobin. Davis weaves together unbreakable party loyalty, evangelicals, redistricting and gerrymandering, and the hostile takeover of the Republicans into a coherent tale. I don’t know of a better telling of where we went – and where we may go next. To be continued.

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Tags: 2016 Election · President

I’m joining The American Prospect!

January 17th, 2017, 6:52pm by Sam Wang

I’m pleased to announce that I have agreed to join The American Prospect as a contributing editor. As many of you may know, the Prospect has a history of taking on political writers at the start of their careers: Ezra Klein, Matt Yglesias, Josh Marshall, Jamelle Bouie, and others. It is an honor to join [...]

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Tags: 2016 Election · President

Polarization Removes the Ability to Make Distinctions

January 3rd, 2017, 3:25am by Sam Wang

Tweet Bruce Springsteen has questioned Donald Trump’s competence to be president. His opinion is typical of the majority of Americans. How could voters have elected someone who is so widely seen as unready for the job? One answer is that polarization impairs the inclination of voters to act upon such problems. In a Gallup poll [...]

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Tags: 2016 Election · President

What Actions are Shared to All Fascist Movements?

December 21st, 2016, 3:17pm by Sam Wang

Today’s leisure reading is Robert Paxton’s essay The Five Stages of Fascism (downloadable PDF). It’s a followup to my previous post on Umberto Eco’s essay on fascism. According to Paxton (link to biography), even though fascist movements had varying stated goals, the shared elements lay in what they actually did.

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Tags: 2016 Election · Politics · U.S. Institutions

What data got right in 2016 – and what’s ahead for PEC

December 20th, 2016, 2:25pm by Sam Wang

Harry Enten points out that areas surrounding Ivy League schools voted predominantly for Clinton. He concludes that these are bubbles. I think there is something more in these numbers. Undeniably, academics tilt liberal, as do the communities they live in. However, additional forces were at work in 2016. White college-educated voters swung away from the [...]

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Tags: 2016 Election

Podcast #24: A Politics & Polls Home Companion

December 17th, 2016, 3:45pm by Sam Wang

Polarization was a strong undercurrent to the 2016 presidential election, affecting the campaign, voting, and now President-elect Donald Trump’s cabinet appointments. In an unusual *live* recording of Politics & Polls, Julian Zelizer and I discuss Trump’s recent appointments, the state of polarization today and how the polls got it wrong in the recent election. Link: [...]

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Tags: 2016 Election

Democracy’s Survival, Part I: Action Items for Today

December 16th, 2016, 7:30am by Sam Wang

In today’s NYT, two scholars of authoritarian movements, Steven Levitsky and Daniel Ziblatt, weigh in. It’s an important article. Readers, recall that my main purpose in running this site was not simply to aggregate polls. I also wanted to help direct efforts and resources. Presidential polls were off (watch my entomophagy, which I made as [...]

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Tags: 2016 Election · U.S. Institutions

The Comey effect

December 10th, 2016, 10:06pm by Sam Wang

September 18, 2017: Re-upping it again because of that claim over at The Monkey Cage to the contrary. Nothing new to add, except that it is always possible to cast doubt on a fairly obvious claim if you use a method that makes your error bars large. May 9th, 2017: I am re-upping this because [...]

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Tags: 2016 Election

Politics & Polls #23 with Jamelle Bouie on the Democrats’ Response

December 8th, 2016, 9:26am by Sam Wang

Since Donald Trump’s election, there has been considerable debate about what the Democratic party should do next. While some Democrats argue for an openness to cooperation, others insist there isn’t room for compromise given Trump’s views on race and individual rights. In this episode of Politics & Polls, professors Julian Zelizer and Sam Wang interview [...]

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Tags: 2016 Election · President