Princeton Election Consortium

A first draft of electoral history. Since 2004

Entries Tagged as '2012 Election'

Nate Silver’s move

July 24th, 2013, 11:04am by Sam Wang

By now most readers know about Nate Silver’s move from the New York Times to ESPN and ABC. ESPN purchased the FiveThirtyEight domain, suggesting a significant commitment by Silver. The move fits with Silver’s roots in sports, as well as his outsider status with regular journalists. ABC will provide excellent broadcast opportunities during election seasons. [...]

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Tags: 2012 Election · Uncategorized

NYT forgets basic statistics; Bloomberg Businessweek forgets 2012

May 31st, 2013, 11:22pm by Sam Wang

I’ll take a brief break from fluorescent protein design, human genetics, and autism and dive back into the fray.

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Tags: 2012 Election · President

Slaying the gerrymander

February 3rd, 2013, 8:21am by Sam Wang

(Welcome, New York Times readers!) Thanks to commenters on this topic. Your feedback has shaped my thinking on this subject. I recall being skeptical that redistricting could have a major effect. As it turns out, the effects of partisan redistricting helped Republicans far more than I expected. One reason for my skepticism is that the [...]

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Tags: 2012 Election · House · Redistricting

Gerrymandering notes: how many votes to take House, 1992-2012

January 30th, 2013, 12:28am by Sam Wang

Dear PEC Readers, we’re going casual tonight. This is for frequent visitors and those of you on the RSS feed. I’ll explain…

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Tags: 2012 Election · House · Meta-analysis

Reince’s plan, Carrico’s folly

January 25th, 2013, 8:59am by Sam Wang

Here’s an article by Steve Coll on gerrymandering in the New Yorker. The subject is not dying away – quite the opposite. Some of you thought that the effect I have detected – antidemocratic outcomes in PA, OH, MI, NC, VA, FL, and IN in 2012… …was somehow peculiar to their population patterns. I’ve been [...]

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Tags: 2012 Election · Politics · Redistricting

The mailbag

January 5th, 2013, 4:00pm by Sam Wang

Gerrymandering makes for interesting mail! Here are some excerpts from activists, a journalist, political scientist, and a few redistricters.

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Tags: 2012 Election · House · Politics · Redistricting · Site News

Gerrymandering code – for the do-it-yourselfers

January 3rd, 2013, 10:43am by Sam Wang

For the true hardcore…A version of the MATLAB code I used is now available.

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Tags: 2012 Election · House · Meta-analysis · Politics · Redistricting

Gerrymanders, Part 2: How many voters were disenfranchised?

January 2nd, 2013, 2:32pm by Sam Wang

(Welcome, redditors! And for the hardcore nerds…) Redistricting is a large and sometimes arcane subject. Take a look at the comments section for the last post. Some of you are quite knowledgeable on the subject. Others are new to it. Before I continue, I’ll lay out some basics, and explain what it is about this problem [...]

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Tags: 2012 Election · House · Politics · Redistricting

Gerrymanders, Part 1: Busting the both-sides-do-it myth

December 30th, 2012, 12:29pm by Sam Wang

Update, September 4, 2017: I have expanded the analysis below to devise three tests that courts may use to detect gerrymandering. These standards are described in the Stanford Law Review. The ideas are also described in two New York Times pieces in February 2013 and in December 2015, as well as a current piece by Emily [...]

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Tags: 2012 Election · House · Politics · Redistricting

What’s your favorite chart of 2012?

December 20th, 2012, 10:45pm by Sam Wang

Nerds around the blogosphere seem to be collecting their favorite charts of the year. Obviously, I can’t pick my own. But to recall the Woody Allen joke… …I can pick my second-favorite.

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Tags: 2012 Election · Politics