Princeton Election Consortium

A first draft of electoral history. Since 2004

Entries Tagged as '2008 Election'

Amazing Inauguration photo – 1.5 gigapixels

January 25th, 2009, 11:00am by Sam Wang

Taken by David Bergman. Check it out here.

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Tags: 2008 Election

The brains of southpaw presidents

January 24th, 2009, 12:52pm by Sam Wang

Tomorrow I’ll be on Good Morning America Weekend, talking with David Wright about the mysterious abundance of left-handed presidents. (watch it here) Barack Obama is left-handed – as were Bill Clinton, the first President Bush, Ronald Reagan (maybe), Gerald Ford, and Harry Truman. What’s going on?

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Tags: 2008 Election

Forbes’s top 25 “liberals”

January 23rd, 2009, 11:22pm by Sam Wang

Forbes has an article on the “25 most influential liberals in the U.S. media.” It’s unintentionally amusing.

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Tags: 2008 Election

The end for Coleman?

January 23rd, 2009, 9:27am by Sam Wang

Two recent events suggest that Coleman’s contest of the Minnesota Senate election result is nearing an end.

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Tags: 2008 Election

Satellite view of the inauguration

January 21st, 2009, 11:56am by Sam Wang

Taken by Geosys and visible with 0.5-meter resolution here, at Popular Science. Thanks to Marc Ambinder and Andrew Sullivan at The Atlantic. Now, how to estimate the crowd from this image? Update: an interactive version via the Washington Post is here.

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Tags: 2008 Election

Thoughts on Inauguration Eve

January 20th, 2009, 1:56am by Sam Wang

First – for a list of ways to watch tomorrow’s festivities, go here. Online (C-SPAN, Hulu) as well as via MSNBC in a Starbucks near you. Now then… For a look back at 2008, Pollster.com has an excellent roundup. Did you know that 30% of all votes were cast early? That more than ever, the […]

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Tags: 2008 Election · Site News

All your electoral votes are belong to us

January 9th, 2009, 3:12pm by Sam Wang

For most of you the headline of this post is indecipherable. But this nerdy joke might make sense to Barack Obama…

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Tags: 2008 Election

On the unreasonable success of Congressional polls

January 7th, 2009, 3:29pm by Sam Wang

As regular readers know, the meta-analysis is a hobby. I’ve only asked for support via ActBlue (nearly $45,000) or the NRSC. But now, a prize from Kevin Drum, who notes that my polling averages were extremely close to the final results. In addition to the 364 EV prediction (a bit seat-of-the-pants at the time, but […]

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Tags: 2008 Election

Franken wins by 225 (and our contest winners…)

January 5th, 2009, 8:52am by Sam Wang

In the Minnesota Senate race, the count’s nearly final: Franken over Coleman by 225 votes, a margin of less than 0.01%. The final count is Franken 1,212,431, Coleman 1,212,206. Court challenges are pending, but the count will be certified this afternoon. So Franken wins the statistical coin toss in a race that was, in any […]

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Tags: 2008 Election

Ties, damned ties, and statistics

November 27th, 2008, 12:30am by Sam Wang

Regarding the Minnesota recount, reader RC points out: “By any meaningful scientific standard of measurement, the vote in Minnesota is a tie, and the recount process is just a mechanism for adjudicating a tie rather than a way of determining overall voter preference.” If RC is correct, this gives a different way to think about […]

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Tags: 2008 Election