Archives

front page
archives
About this site
Sam’s optimized picks

Democrats: Republicans:
Data from…
Brain Books by Sam
Blogroll
Details of the Meta-Analysis
- The Methods
- The Wall Street Journal
  [10/26/2004]
  [11/4 follow-up]
- Fox News Channel
  [2 MB version] [30 MB]
- For fellow geeks
  A tour of how this site is run
Monthly Archives
- May 2013 (1)
- February 2013 (2)
- January 2013 (6)
- December 2012 (7)
- November 2012 (32)
- October 2012 (49)
- September 2012 (46)
- August 2012 (31)
- July 2012 (9)
- June 2012 (2)
- January 2012 (1)
- November 2010 (5)
- October 2010 (5)
- November 2009 (4)
- June 2009 (7)
- March 2009 (1)
- February 2009 (3)
- January 2009 (11)
- November 2008 (29)
- October 2008 (35)
- September 2008 (40)
- August 2008 (21)
- July 2008 (5)
- October 2005 (1)
- January 2005 (1)
- December 2004 (2)
- November 2004 (32)
- October 2004 (24)
- September 2004 (1)
- August 2004 (2)

Browse the Archives...

by month:

by Category:

Meta-analysis of polls

Reducing state-level Presidential polls to a single high-precision snapshot. more
Presidential History and snapshot (click for detail)

EV and Meta-Margin history
State-by-State Presidential Maps
Interactive (Java) Maps:
Senate and House

General outlook 2012 Polls:
Senate (10/31): 53 D/I, 47 R (50% CI: 53-55 D/I)
House current polls

The Power Of Your Vote

(why care about this?)

State	Margin	Power
NH	Obama +2%	100.0
IA	Obama +2%	82.2
PA	Obama +3%	77.8
OH	Obama +3%	74.0
NV	Obama +5%	71.9
VA	Obama +2%	71.0
CO	Obama +2%	63.7
WI	Obama +4.5%	44.7
NM	Obama +6%	30.1
FL	Tied	26.6
MI	Obama +5.5%	21.6
OR	Obama +6%	19.1
NC	Romney +2%	5.2
MN	Obama +7.5%	3.2
LA	Romney +13%	0.9
NJ	Obama +12%	0.00091492

Meta-Analysis Thread
- Gerrymandering notes: how many votes to take House, 1992-2012
  January 30, 2013 | 12:28 am
  Dear PEC Readers, we’re going casual tonight. This is for frequent visitors and those of you on the RSS feed. I’ll explain… Read more »
- Gerrymandering code – for the do-it-yourselfers
  January 3, 2013 | 10:43 am
  For the true hardcore…A version of the MATLAB code I used is now available. Read more »
- With Jay Ackroyd at 9pm (soon!)
  November 8, 2012 | 7:25 pm
  Hi, all. A bit inundated with media, and also recovering. However…join me with Jay Ackroyd on a webcast of Virtually Speaking, in 1.5 hours – at 9pm Eastern. See you! call in: 646 200 3440
- Archive for Meta-Analysis Thread »