Princeton Election Consortium

A first draft of electoral history. Since 2004

Entries from August 13th, 2018

Optimal Donations 2018: Governor’s races (but not House races)

August 13th, 2018, 9:30pm by Sam Wang

This year, I don’t recommend giving to House races for two reasons. There are just too many of them. Over 80 districts are less Republican-leaning than Ohio’s 12th district, whose margin was razor-thin in the recent special election. Compared with the six key Senate races I’ve listed at left, your donations would be diluted by […]

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Tags: 2018 Election · governors · House · Redistricting · Senate

OH-12 is ominous for GOP in House…and the Senate

August 7th, 2018, 11:36pm by Sam Wang

At the moment, in the special election in Ohio’s gerrymandered 12th district, Republican Troy Balderson leads Democrat Danny O’Connor by 0.9 percentage point (with 0.6% of the vote going to the Green Party candidate). This is a loss for Democrats, but it’s a 10-point swing from the Clinton-Trump margin in 2016. That’s very much in […]

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Tags: 2018 Election

Optimizing Your Efforts in 2018: Part II, the Senate

August 2nd, 2018, 1:04am by Sam Wang

In 2018, what’s a swing state? In many cases, it’s not the swing states that everyone focused on in 2016. How should you optimize your activism and donations? tl;dr: You can donate via the PEC ActBlue page (if you like Democrats) or the NRSC (if you like Republicans). The reason for the difference from 2016 […]

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Tags: 2018 Election · Senate

Support the Princeton Gerrymandering Project!

August 1st, 2018, 12:00pm by Sam Wang

The Princeton Gerrymandering Project does nonpartisan analysis to understand and eliminate partisan gerrymandering, which has soared since 2011. Starting in 2018, we now do most of our work at a local level. Although the Supreme Court acknowledged¬†the validity of our math¬†(see our great explainer video), they still probably won’t act. State-level action can fill the […]

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Tags: Princeton · Redistricting