Princeton Election Consortium

A first draft of electoral history. Since 2004

Entries from February 26th, 2017

Homeland Security Memo on Actual Sources of Terrorism

February 26th, 2017, 7:02am by Sam Wang

The memo is here. Based on analysis of actual identified threats and incidents relevant to the U.S., the top seven nations are Pakistan, Somalia, Bangladesh, Cuba, Ethiopia, Iraq, and Uzbekistan. Although all but two (Cuba and Ethiopia) are predominantly-Muslim countries, there is not much overlap with the countries named in the Muslim travel ban. For [...]

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Tags: 2014 Election

Politics & Polls #32: Israel and Palestine

February 23rd, 2017, 8:28pm by Sam Wang

Almost every U.S. president has struggled to broker a peace agreement between Israel and Palestine. A two-state solution was already looking fleeting. What can we expect to see from President Donald Trump? In Politics & Polls, George W. Bush’s Ambassador to Israel, Daniel Kurtzer, joined Julian Zelizer and me to take a hard look at [...]

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Tags: 2014 Election

Coding for Journalists

February 22nd, 2017, 11:27pm by Sam Wang

A crash course in Python for journalists who wish to scrape data. Intriguing!

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Tags: 2014 Election

Arnold Schwarzenegger breaks down gerrymandering

February 22nd, 2017, 10:56am by Sam Wang

Schwarzenegger gives an amusing and substantively sound take on gerrymandering: His solution is a citizens’ commission to take redistricting out of the hands of legislators. As I have analyzed (see page 1296), the California Redistricting Commission has done a good job of creating competitive races where none existed before. A commission-based approach has the advantage [...]

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Tags: governors · Redistricting · U.S. Institutions

Politics & Polls #30

February 10th, 2017, 2:31pm by Sam Wang

A federal appeals court has blocked President Donald Trump’s executive order issuing an immigration ban barring people from seven predominantly Muslim countries from entering the United States. Trump also has made moves toward building a border wall with Mexico, which recent figures suggest may cost an estimated $21 billion. To get into what these moves [...]

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Tags: President · U.S. Institutions

Awesome telling of the story of 2016

February 8th, 2017, 8:32pm by Sam Wang

A splendid telling of the story of 2016, by Mike Davis at Jacobin. Davis weaves together unbreakable party loyalty, evangelicals, redistricting and gerrymandering, and the hostile takeover of the Republicans into a coherent tale. I don’t know of a better telling of where we went – and where we may go next. To be continued.

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Tags: 2016 Election · President

Live feed of Ninth Circuit – Muslim ban case

February 7th, 2017, 7:04pm by Sam Wang

Oral arguments here. Liveblogging at the New York Times suggests that at least two of the three judges on the panel lean toward keeping the ban suspended for now. Whatever happens, the court will consider the ban’s merits later.

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Tags: President · U.S. Institutions

Auto-Crat (TM) 1.0

February 5th, 2017, 11:48am by Sam Wang

Here is an idea that, if done well, subverts the use of Twitter as a political tool by making the content into a joke. “No Trump Tower against me blacks from @SarahPalinUSA look forward to it. He should go down. Make America Great Again! — No Puppet v 0.1 (@Turing_Trump) January 31, 2017 We hear [...]

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Tags: President

Politics & Polls #29

February 3rd, 2017, 7:34am by Sam Wang

Are we seeing the birth cries of an authoritarian regime? Or is it the gang that couldn’t shoot straight? Julian Zelizer and I debate this and more in episode #29 of Politics & Polls. Following up on a previous episode with Theda Skocpol on rebuilding the Democratic Party, here’s a great interview with Skocpol in Democracy [...]

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Tags: 2018 Election · House · President