Princeton Election Consortium

A first draft of electoral history. Since 2004

What does probability mean to a journalist?

September 25th, 2015, 5:23pm by Sam Wang


From Math with Bad Drawings comes this gem, depicting what probability means to a political journalist. “The threat is real.” Heh.

There’s a whole series of such drawings. Check them out!

Tags: 2016 Election

6 Comments so far ↓

  • mediaglyphic

    totally off topic, but has anyone done analysis on the Canadian election? I have not been checking here so i might have missed some posts.

  • bks

    A friend who I sent the link to tells me of the “Theory of Possibility” which he learned in Control Theory at Carnegie Mellon. For example: What is the possibility that a plane will crash if your single point of failure fails? The possibility is one.

  • SF Bays

    Thanks for the chuckle.

  • Amitabh Lath

    The captain of the Millennium Falcon is a true Bayesian.

    • bks

      I tried doing one for bioinformatics but I couldn’t fit 500 categories to the left of 10^-50.

    • Matt McIrvin

      Hokey distributions and bad priors are no match for a good blaster at your side.