Princeton Election Consortium

A first draft of electoral history. Since 2004

Entries from November 1st, 2012

Test – Facebook open thread

November 1st, 2012, 3:45pm by Sam Wang

(original version released November 1, 3:45pm on temporary site) I miss my commenters! Let’s see if Facebook-based threads are sustainable. Open discussion thread for the Presidential race. Ro-mentum, early voting, whatever…have at it!

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Tags: 2012 Election · Meta-analysis · Site News

Rove-mentum!

November 1st, 2012, 9:10am by Sam Wang

(original version published on temporary site; comment thread) In this year’s race, national polls show a tie at the moment, while state polls show a decisive Obama advantage. Here I suggest that the difference may arise from the fact that the same systematic pollster errors can have different ultimate effects, depending on whether they occur in [...]

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Tags: 2012 Election · President