(original version released November 1, 3:45pm on temporary site)
I miss my commenters! Let’s see if Facebook-based threads are sustainable. Open discussion thread for the Presidential race. Ro-mentum, early voting, whatever…have at it!
(original version released November 1, 3:45pm on temporary site)
I miss my commenters! Let’s see if Facebook-based threads are sustainable. Open discussion thread for the Presidential race. Ro-mentum, early voting, whatever…have at it!
Tags: 2012 Election · Meta-analysis · Site News
| State | Margin | Power |
|---|---|---|
| NH | Obama +2% | 100.0 |
| IA | Obama +2% | 82.2 |
| PA | Obama +3% | 77.8 |
| OH | Obama +3% | 74.0 |
| NV | Obama +5% | 71.9 |
| VA | Obama +2% | 71.0 |
| CO | Obama +2% | 63.7 |
| WI | Obama +4.5% | 44.7 |
| NM | Obama +6% | 30.1 |
| FL | Tied | 26.6 |
| MI | Obama +5.5% | 21.6 |
| OR | Obama +6% | 19.1 |
| NC | Romney +2% | 5.2 |
| MN | Obama +7.5% | 3.2 |
| LA | Romney +13% | 0.9 |
| NJ | Obama +12% | 0.00091492 |
Dear PEC Readers, we’re going casual tonight. This is for frequent visitors and those of you on the RSS feed. I’ll explain… Read more »
For the true hardcore…A version of the MATLAB code I used is now available. Read more »
Hi, all. A bit inundated with media, and also recovering. However…join me with Jay Ackroyd on a webcast of Virtually Speaking, in 1.5 hours – at 9pm Eastern. See you! call in: 646 200 3440
Archive for Meta-Analysis Thread »© 2004–2013 Samuel S.-H. Wang
So, will the statistical models eventually have enough data to eliminate the actual physical act of voting? If we know the score without the game, will someone see a savings in just running the data until a deadline and calling it?