Seems like Romney did well. Landed some good punches, didn’t look like he was circling the drain. Obama was more natural and got off a few…zingers. To tell the truth, I started zoning out after about 30 minutes.
It’s not enough to change the basic dynamics. Stalemate. I suspect the race will stay where it is now, maybe narrow by a point. Two points if we believe the pundit reactions. This is not enough for Romney. The Meta-Margin is currently at Obama+6.2%.
I do wonder if it will help the GOP downticket. Despite your obsession with the Presidential race, readers, the downticket is far more interesting in the coming weeks. Those races are at center stage (ActBlue / CrossroadsGPS).
Update 1: Commenter JohnJacobs asks about undecided voters. They are now 5.0 +/- 1.0% (n=13 polls, Pollster.com). Read my previous take on undecideds from a week ago – about halfway down the essay. Also see my 2008 essay on how undecideds break. On average, the net benefit to Romney from undecideds will be 0.3 +/-1.1%. If he matched the largest recorded break (3:1 for the challenger), he would gain 2.5% of margin.
Update 2: On this comment thread anything goes, including opinions, glee, panic, whatever. Better to channel it, though.