Princeton Election Consortium

A first draft of electoral history. Since 2004

Meta-Margins for control: House D+1.0% Senate R+4.2% Find key elections near you!


October 1st, 2012, 8:00am by Sam Wang

Good morning. I’ve switched to a short-term prediction. Click on the history to see it.

Today the Meta-Margin is Obama +5.4%, the highest value so far of the general campaign. The yellow “watch zone” includes 353 EV, also a high.

I’m experimenting with flavors of comment moderation. Don’t mind the confusion.

General announcement: if anyone has reliable values for post- vs. pre-redistricting PVI, email me. I’m working on something. Update: found one source.

Tags: 2012 Election · Site News

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