Princeton Election Consortium

A first draft of electoral history. Since 2004

Entries from August 1st, 2012

A bad July for Romney

August 1st, 2012, 4:07pm by Sam Wang

I spoke too soon. July was not good for Romney. The trend is now clear: and in units of Meta-Margin, it’s even clearer: The size of the change here is considerable, almost 3.0%, for a total of Obama +4.9%. That’s the amount of swing necessary for Romney to come back even. The discrepancy between this [...]

[Read more →]

Tags: 2012 Election · President