Princeton Election Consortium

A first draft of electoral history. Since 2004

Entries from November 13th, 2009

At TEDxSF – Neuroscience and willpower

November 13th, 2009, 1:00pm by Sam Wang

I’ll be coming to San Francisco next Tuesday for TEDxSF, a spinoff of the famous TED conference. It’s at the California Academy of Sciences. Mayor Gavin Newsom will launch the event. The event will be LiveStreamed – tune in around 4:00pm Pacific. I’m on a little after 4:30pm to talk about the neuroscience of willpower. [...]

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Tags: 2008 Election

Orly Taitz gets her court date

November 11th, 2009, 2:17pm by Sam Wang

Back on the false-belief beat…sort of. I’ve previously written about false belief formation from the standpoint of neuroscience. A prominent category these days is the delusion, mostly on the right, that President Obama is thought to be hiding something really big. These days it’s his citizenship: “birthers” claim that he is not a Hawaii-born US [...]

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Tags: 2008 Election

Results NY-23 (D upset) and NJ-Gov (R)

November 4th, 2009, 12:29am by Sam Wang

Christie (R) won by 4.2%, substantially more than the 1.0% I predicted. On the other hand, Corzine (D) received 44.6% of the vote, quite close to the 44.5% VM-optimized polling average. Looks like it might be Daggett (I) supporters reclaiming the power of their vote. Was I wrong about NY-23? Only two polls were available. [...]

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Tags: Politics

Home stretch analysis of 2009 special elections: NJ-Gov, NY-23

November 3rd, 2009, 4:02am by Sam Wang

The polls in the Corzine (D) – Christie (R) – Daggett (I) race have been very close. So it’s time for the variance minimization tool that I advocated at the end of the 2008 Presidential race. Using that, I come up with the following conclusions: Since 10/23 (i.e. the last 10 days), the race has [...]

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Tags: Politics