Courtesy of reader FZ, an excellent map at the NYT. By hitting “voting shifts” you get a mapped county version of shifts not only comapred with 2004, but also earlier years. He also notes analysis by Chicago (formerly Princeton) political scientist Eric Oliver, who suggests that the racial element occurs in islands of white communities in black-dominated surroundings. He suggests racial competition rather than racism per se. Worth a read.
Princeton Election Consortium
A first draft of electoral history
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Poll Updates- KY: 2010 Sen (Benenson 10/4-7) November 4, 2009
- US: Obama (Gallup 10/16-19) November 4, 2009
- US: 2010 Generic Ballot (CNN 10/30-11/1) November 4, 2009
- KY: 2010 Senate (SurveyUSA 10/30-11/2) November 4, 2009
- NY-23: Hoffman 42 Owens 34 (NOM 11/1-2) November 3, 2009
History and snapshot
State-by-State Maps
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Senate and House
Meta-Analysis Thread
- Spacetime rift delays update until noon
October 7, 2008 | 11:42 amAndrew says there was “a routing problem this morning between the University and quite a few outside websites — a split in the internet, if you will.” For the next EV estimator update, check back at noon…
- VP debate: big audience but race unchanged
October 5, 2008 | 3:00 pmBiden v. Palin drew 70 million viewers, one-third more than Obama v. McCain. VP debates usually don’t matter, but I wondered… Read more »
- For locals: a talk on the Meta-Analysis
October 2, 2008 | 9:00 amTomorrow (Friday) at noon, I’ll give a talk in Kosuke Imai and Dustin Tingley’s political methodology seminar. If you’re nearby, you’re welcome to attend. Of course, the math will all be included. The blurb is here (PDF).
Update: Here’s another local event, happening next Tuesday: a panel on the reliability of state polls featuring both pollsters and academics, including Andrew Gelman, author of Red State, Blue State, Rich State, Poor State. I hear the panel will be webcast. If so I’ll post a link.
Archive for Meta-Analysis Thread »
- Spacetime rift delays update until noon
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