
Photo credit: Callie Shell/Aurora for Time.
A long campaign
November 11th, 2008, 6:48pm by Sam Wang
Tags: 2008 Election

Photo credit: Callie Shell/Aurora for Time.
Tags: 2008 Election
| State | Margin | Power |
|---|---|---|
| CO | Obama +6% | 100.0 |
| PA | Obama +7% | 32.9 |
| NM | Obama +9% | 31.8 |
| VA | Obama +4% | 27.4 |
| NV | Obama +6% | 19.7 |
| OH | Obama +4% | 19.0 |
| NH | Obama +11% | 5.6 |
| FL | Obama +2% | 3.3 |
| WI | Obama +11% | 2.4 |
| MN | Obama +12% | 1.4 |
| NJ | Obama +16% | 0.00029626 |
Andrew says there was “a routing problem this morning between the University and quite a few outside websites — a split in the internet, if you will.” For the next EV estimator update, check back at noon…
Biden v. Palin drew 70 million viewers, one-third more than Obama v. McCain. VP debates usually don’t matter, but I wondered… Read more »
Tomorrow (Friday) at noon, I’ll give a talk in Kosuke Imai and Dustin Tingley’s political methodology seminar. If you’re nearby, you’re welcome to attend. Of course, the math will all be included. The blurb is here (PDF).
Update: Here’s another local event, happening next Tuesday: a panel on the reliability of state polls featuring both pollsters and academics, including Andrew Gelman, author of Red State, Blue State, Rich State, Poor State. I hear the panel will be webcast. If so I’ll post a link.
Archive for Meta-Analysis Thread »© 2004–2009 Samuel S.-H. Wang
I’ll say…Barack’s lucky though, his job for the next four(hopefully eight) years is to be President…those of us who volunteered for him are now basically feeling empty like the Onion video. Thanks for continuing to post stuff :P
Hang in there William – visit http://www.change.gov. We’re just getting started. Sam, you run an excellent site, thank you.