I realize that many readers do not share my politics. I’ve attempted to use my judgments, but not my preferences, in the analysis – perhaps with success. My intention was to provide any thinking person with relatively transparent analysis of polling data. So I was pleased to receive this note: “Although our politics are different, I certainly appreciate your state meta analysis. I especially liked the cheat sheet you posted. I used it last night during election coverage. Sincerely, T.W.”
The need to keep a critical distance has kept me from really appreciating what happened yesterday. I’ll offer more technical analysis after more scraps of returns come in. First I need a little recuperation time. Until then, I hope you’ll indulge me for a moment…
Last night, technical issues had my attention. I had already established the basic result as being overwhelmingly likely, and was testing the predictions (New Hampshire, Obama +11%, check). It wasn’t until midnight that the news hit. Even before Obama spoke, the sight of him and his family was so powerful. I found out that spontaneous parties assembled, including the street in front of the White House.
This morning I went to my class thinking that my students have grown up thinking of the Bush Administration’s assault on our nation’s institutions as typical government at work. Now we’re in pretty deep; Paul Krugman says it well, as does The Onion (two ways).
But today feels like walking into the sun.