Comments on: Accounting for poll biases http://election.princeton.edu/2008/11/03/accounting-for-poll-biases/ A first draft of electoral history Thu, 12 Nov 2009 02:35:25 -0500 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.6 hourly 1 By: Davos Newbies » Blog Archive » A chart to stop the worrying http://election.princeton.edu/2008/11/03/accounting-for-poll-biases/comment-page-1/#comment-1941 Davos Newbies » Blog Archive » A chart to stop the worrying Tue, 04 Nov 2008 17:37:49 +0000 http://election.princeton.edu/?p=2277#comment-1941 [...] If there are still nervous Obama supporters out there, Sam Wang at Princeton has the perfect tonic. [...] [...] If there are still nervous Obama supporters out there, Sam Wang at Princeton has the perfect tonic. [...]

]]> By: Tapen Sinha http://election.princeton.edu/2008/11/03/accounting-for-poll-biases/comment-page-1/#comment-1901 Tapen Sinha Tue, 04 Nov 2008 14:56:39 +0000 http://election.princeton.edu/?p=2277#comment-1901 This is a very very useful picture. Thank you very very much. Tapen This is a very very useful picture.
Thank you very very much.

Tapen

]]> By: Rathna http://election.princeton.edu/2008/11/03/accounting-for-poll-biases/comment-page-1/#comment-1872 Rathna Tue, 04 Nov 2008 09:50:38 +0000 http://election.princeton.edu/?p=2277#comment-1872 since Sam has also graphed the Meta-Margin vs time, it’s a little less interesting. since Sam has also graphed the Meta-Margin vs time, it’s a little less interesting.

]]> By: blair alef http://election.princeton.edu/2008/11/03/accounting-for-poll-biases/comment-page-1/#comment-1869 blair alef Tue, 04 Nov 2008 07:01:07 +0000 http://election.princeton.edu/?p=2277#comment-1869 I would also like to share one small observation that is social rather than political or statistical. There is a chance that five million disadvantaged people of color who have never voted will vote in this election. A good prorortion of them will be older than thirty years old. The message in this election is not who will be President but those many, millions of individuals who thought no one cared about their opinion and voted this year for the first time. I would also like to share one small observation that is social rather than political or statistical. There is a chance that five million disadvantaged people of color who have never voted will vote in this election. A good prorortion of them will be older than thirty years old. The message in this election is not who will be President but those many, millions of individuals who thought no one cared about their opinion and voted this year for the first time.

]]> By: blair alef http://election.princeton.edu/2008/11/03/accounting-for-poll-biases/comment-page-1/#comment-1867 blair alef Tue, 04 Nov 2008 06:50:40 +0000 http://election.princeton.edu/?p=2277#comment-1867 Thank you as always. For PEC afficionados and election geeks, just watch Indiana, earliest poll closing. The percentage of counted votes one way or another when announced will give a good indication of the strength of the Obama ground game advantage - if there is one or not. Whatever moves Indiana one way or another will give the best indication of who has a ground game advantage in all of the rest of the seriously contested states. Thank you as always.

For PEC afficionados and election geeks, just watch Indiana, earliest poll closing. The percentage of counted votes one way or another when announced will give a good indication of the strength of the Obama ground game advantage – if there is one or not. Whatever moves Indiana one way or another will give the best indication of who has a ground game advantage in all of the rest of the seriously contested states.

]]> By: yoyo http://election.princeton.edu/2008/11/03/accounting-for-poll-biases/comment-page-1/#comment-1866 yoyo Tue, 04 Nov 2008 05:56:48 +0000 http://election.princeton.edu/?p=2277#comment-1866 Hm, i remember you posting this, but didn't it plateau more? is it new polling in red states? Hm, i remember you posting this, but didn’t it plateau more? is it new polling in red states?

]]> By: Aaron http://election.princeton.edu/2008/11/03/accounting-for-poll-biases/comment-page-1/#comment-1861 Aaron Tue, 04 Nov 2008 05:03:17 +0000 http://election.princeton.edu/?p=2277#comment-1861 I made another image like the last one using EV_estimate_history . But since Sam has also graphed the Meta-Margin vs. time, it's a little less interesting. Either way, <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/93236815@N00/3001977948/in/photostream/?addedcomment=1#comment72157608639654249" rel="nofollow"> here </a> it is. Exciting times. I made another image like the last one using EV_estimate_history . But since Sam has also graphed the Meta-Margin vs. time, it’s a little less interesting.
Either way, here it is.

Exciting times.

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