The EV estimator has reached its highest level since July. The Meta-Margin is nearly 4%. Once a few stragglers come in – notably Missouri and New Hampshire – the picture will be reasonably current. The tactical benefits to McCain of the Celebrity ad (and other August attacks) and VP pick Sarah Palin have been fully [...]
Entries from October 2nd, 2008
Obama’s continuing rise, and a criticism from Silver
October 1st, 2008, 12:38pm by Sam Wang
The EV estimator is continuing its sharp rise (now Obama 322 EV, McCain 216 EV). It is catching up with the increase in support for Obama, which has been maintained after the first debate. National polls are now at a median of Obama +5.5 +/- 0.8% (n=12, Sept. 25-30; updated 12:53am). The EV estimator will [...]
Tags: 2008 Election · Site News
