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Entries from October 9th, 2008

On campus tonight: race, environment, and IQ

October 9th, 2008, 9:16am by Sam Wang

Here’s a topic far from our daily discussion. But it’s an important subject, one that often gets mishandled badly. Tonight I’m hosting as a speaker Prof. James R. Flynn, a real maverick.

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Tags: Princeton

Purple polls

October 9th, 2008, 8:44am by Sam Wang

I’ve now started making “Purple Poll” and “Red/Blue Poll” maps using poll-data from RealClearPolitics. I hope to update the maps on an almost daily basis between now and the election. You can see the maps at -Bob Vanderbei

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Tags: 2008 Election · Princeton

The 500,000th site view…

October 8th, 2008, 9:09pm by Sam Wang

…will occur around 1:00am tonight. Our per-day traffic is about 5-10% that of,, or FiveThirtyEight. Not so bad for a site that went dormant in 2004 and re-launched in late July. Thank you all. (And you are most welcome to exit this site via my ActBlue page.)

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Tags: Site News

Donna Brazile isn’t going to the back of the bus

October 8th, 2008, 2:02pm by Sam Wang

Just watch. (Jezebel via Andrew Sullivan).

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Tags: 2008 Election · Uncategorized

Wishes, spiky histograms, and Debate #2 reactions

October 8th, 2008, 10:13am by Sam Wang

Today I wish for fresh data from Missouri and North Carolina. In one case, you get a vote in whether a survey is done!

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Tags: 2008 Election

Spacetime rift delays update until noon

October 7th, 2008, 11:42am by Sam Wang

Andrew says there was “a routing problem this morning between the University and quite a few outside websites — a split in the internet, if you will.” For the next EV estimator update, check back at noon…

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Tags: 2008 Election · Meta-analysis · Site News

The neuroscience of being “undecided”

October 7th, 2008, 10:30am by Sam Wang

At, Charles Franklin examines this year’s campaign trends. In his data, “undecided” voters make up a similar fraction to the current Obama-McCain polling margin. How many of them are really undecided? Based on psychology and neuroscience research, maybe not many.

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Tags: 2008 Election

Stretching your political dollars

October 5th, 2008, 3:03pm by Sam Wang

When you give money to political campaigns, you deserve to see good value for your donation. Democrats are well positioned to win the White House and make substantial gains in the House and Senate. Where is your money most effective? I don’t ask for donations to keep this site going. Instead, I ask people to […]

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Tags: 2008 Election · Site News

VP debate: big audience but race unchanged

October 5th, 2008, 3:00pm by Sam Wang

Biden v. Palin drew 70 million viewers, one-third more than Obama v. McCain. VP debates usually don’t matter, but I wondered…

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Tags: 2008 Election · Meta-analysis

Obama’s red ceiling

October 3rd, 2008, 3:32pm by Sam Wang

I just gave a talk over in the Politics department/Woodrow Wilson School. A lively group! It was edifying and fun, and I was sorry to rush off. Here are my slides as PDF and PowerPoint. Unfortunately, they don’t capture the interplay or the chalkboard work, which I’ll write about later. But first, some thoughts on […]

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Tags: 2008 Election