Just watch. (Jezebel via Andrew Sullivan).
Donna Brazile isn’t going to the back of the bus
October 8th, 2008, 2:02pm by Sam Wang
Tags: 2008 Election · Uncategorized
Just watch. (Jezebel via Andrew Sullivan).
Tags: 2008 Election · Uncategorized
| State | Margin | Power |
|---|---|---|
| CO | Obama +6% | 100.0 |
| PA | Obama +7% | 32.9 |
| NM | Obama +9% | 31.8 |
| VA | Obama +4% | 27.4 |
| NV | Obama +6% | 19.7 |
| OH | Obama +4% | 19.0 |
| NH | Obama +11% | 5.6 |
| FL | Obama +2% | 3.3 |
| WI | Obama +11% | 2.4 |
| MN | Obama +12% | 1.4 |
| NJ | Obama +16% | 0.00029626 |
Andrew says there was “a routing problem this morning between the University and quite a few outside websites — a split in the internet, if you will.” For the next EV estimator update, check back at noon…
Biden v. Palin drew 70 million viewers, one-third more than Obama v. McCain. VP debates usually don’t matter, but I wondered… Read more »
Tomorrow (Friday) at noon, I’ll give a talk in Kosuke Imai and Dustin Tingley’s political methodology seminar. If you’re nearby, you’re welcome to attend. Of course, the math will all be included. The blurb is here (PDF).
Update: Here’s another local event, happening next Tuesday: a panel on the reliability of state polls featuring both pollsters and academics, including Andrew Gelman, author of Red State, Blue State, Rich State, Poor State. I hear the panel will be webcast. If so I’ll post a link.
Archive for Meta-Analysis Thread »© 2004–2009 Samuel S.-H. Wang
So true. And isn’t it a pity that this truth needs to be repeated today?
Donna Brazile: “If I Were Running This Campaign” HA! If Donna Brazile were running this campaign, McCain would surely be ahead by 10 percentage points! I know she has real experience, but she sounds like someone who has read books about politics but has no actual ,useful advice to offer. Most of what she says turns out to be wrong. The Charles Krauthammer of the left?
This isn’t the point. I found the video to be quite moving. But I would be delighted to see Charles Krauthammer become a major GOP strategist.