http://election.princeton.edu/2008/08/18/battleground-state-spending-a-meta-analytic-view/ A first draft of electoral history Thu, 12 Nov 2009 02:35:25 -0500 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.6 hourly 1 http://election.princeton.edu/2008/08/18/battleground-state-spending-a-meta-analytic-view/comment-page-1/#comment-3217 Media Channel 2.0 — Blog — How Unscrupulous Campaign Strategists Are Taking Advantage Of A Quirk In Our Brains - And What Reporters Can Do To Stop Helping Them Mon, 26 Oct 2009 20:39:09 +0000 http://election.princeton.edu/?p=374#comment-3217 [...] it took some time for the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth campaign against Senator John Kerry to affect his standing in the [...] [...] it took some time for the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth campaign against Senator John Kerry to affect his standing in the [...]

]]> http://election.princeton.edu/2008/08/18/battleground-state-spending-a-meta-analytic-view/comment-page-1/#comment-159 John Wed, 20 Aug 2008 16:58:25 +0000 http://election.princeton.edu/?p=374#comment-159 Two other factors may be in play: 1. The article does not make it clear to me who is spending more altogether. My understanding is that McCain is forced to spend out primary money now. Obama is not, because he rejected federal financing. Obama presumably plans to start spending much more heavily after Labor Day, under the assumption that no one is paying attention until the conventions. Maybe, but in the mean time McCain is defining Obama as unpatriotic. 2. The goal of red-state spending may be to begin to convert those states over the long term rather than contest them now. A noble goal, but if Obama loses this election, he wears the goat's horns for decades. David is right. Two other factors may be in play:
1. The article does not make it clear to me who is spending more altogether. My understanding is that McCain is forced to spend out primary money now. Obama is not, because he rejected federal financing. Obama presumably plans to start spending much more heavily after Labor Day, under the assumption that no one is paying attention until the conventions. Maybe, but in the mean time McCain is defining Obama as unpatriotic.
2. The goal of red-state spending may be to begin to convert those states over the long term rather than contest them now. A noble goal, but if Obama loses this election, he wears the goat’s horns for decades. David is right.

]]> http://election.princeton.edu/2008/08/18/battleground-state-spending-a-meta-analytic-view/comment-page-1/#comment-155 David Tue, 19 Aug 2008 19:08:54 +0000 http://election.princeton.edu/?p=374#comment-155 Which is stupid. The Obama campaign needs to wake up and start attacking, throwing everything plus the kitchen sink at McCain. Attacks work. Coasting doesn't. Which is stupid. The Obama campaign needs to wake up and start attacking, throwing everything plus the kitchen sink at McCain. Attacks work. Coasting doesn’t.

]]> http://election.princeton.edu/2008/08/18/battleground-state-spending-a-meta-analytic-view/comment-page-1/#comment-154 Uncle Monty Tue, 19 Aug 2008 18:02:23 +0000 http://election.princeton.edu/?p=374#comment-154 Nate at 538 has a good discussion of this issue today, pointing out that "spending" is a misnomer here--these figures are only about spending *on advertizing*, whereas the Obama campaign is vastly outspending the McCain campaign when it comes to the ground game. Any discussion of spending should contain this important information. Nate at 538 has a good discussion of this issue today, pointing out that “spending” is a misnomer here–these figures are only about spending *on advertizing*, whereas the Obama campaign is vastly outspending the McCain campaign when it comes to the ground game. Any discussion of spending should contain this important information.

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