Princeton Election Consortium

A first draft of electoral history. Since 2004

Entries from November 1st, 2004

Final Prediction: Kerry 311 EV, Bush 227 EV

November 1st, 2004, 12:00pm by Sam Wang

Here are my final calculations and predictions. Extended discussion and supporting links can be found in the November 1, 8:00AM update. I have a brochure for your use to follow the returns on Tuesday night and test my assumptions (and yours). Here it is. The map below shows Kerry and Bush’s win probabilities, individually by [...]

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Tags: 2004 Election

WSJ Radio Interview

November 1st, 2004, 9:00am by Sam Wang

Today I was interviewed live by Wall Street Journal This Morning. The program was carried on over 80 stations across the U.S. and on the Sirius and XM satellite networks. Listen to it here (MP3, 1.3 MB).

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Tags: 2004 Election