Princeton Election Consortium

A first draft of electoral history. Since 2004

Meta-Margins for control: House D+1.0% Senate R+4.2% Find key elections near you!

Plotting the First Exit Polls

November 2nd, 2004, 3:00pm by Sam Wang

Early exit polls on Drudge (above the title). If you plot them on my brochure graph, their median is around +5% bias. This may regress as Republicans get to the polls, but I think this is a telling sign. Not sure if I will be blogging the returns – just a heads-up for you. I wonder if my prediction was too cautious! That’s what I get for paying too much attention to my email.

Tags: 2004 Election

No Comments so far ↓

Like gas stations in rural Texas after 10 pm, comments are closed.