Princeton Election Consortium

A first draft of electoral history. Since 2004

More on the Turnout Bias

November 2nd, 2004, 10:45am by Sam Wang


I have added two pages to the brochure – a graph to help you calculate for yourself the net bias, and an electoral map.

Political psychologist Manuel M. Frank writes in with a model indicating that I have underestimated the turnout bias. Looking at his work, my original figure of +2.5% agrees with his calculations based on Annenberg interest-level surveys. His work can be read here; he also has additional comments.

Tags: 2004 Election

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